Kuchlanish nosimmetrikligi ta’sirida ishlaydigan fotoelektrik invertorlar va telekommunikatsiya to‘g‘rilagichlarining qolgan xizmat muddatini fizika asosidagi gradiyent busting yordamida prognozlash: simulyatsiya tadqiqoti
##semicolon##
kuchlanish nosimmetrikligi, qolgan xizmat muddati (RUL), XGBoost, fizika asosidagi mashinaviy o‘rganish, konformal bashorat, ma’lumotlar sizib chiqishi, baholash protokoli, fotoelektrik invertor, telekommunikatsiya elektr ta’minoti, prognozli texnik xizmat ko‘rsatishAbstrak
Uzoq muddatli kuchlanish nosimmetrikligi taqsimlangan obyektlardagi uch fazali uskunalar - tarmoqqa ulangan fotoelektrik (PV) invertorlar va telekommunikatsiya to‘g‘rilagich stansiyalari - xizmat muddatini qo‘shimcha isroflar va tezlashgan issiqlik eskirishi orqali qisqartiradi. Bunday uskunalar uchun ishdan chiqishgacha kuzatilgan ma’lumotlar mavjud emasligi sababli gibrid konveyer baholanadi: jamlanuvchi shikastlanishning fizik modeli degradatsiya trayektoriyalarini hosil qiladi, XGBoost regressori esa qolgan xizmat muddatini (RUL) nosimmetriklik va issiqlik yuklamasi belgilaridan o‘rganadi. Asosiy natija metodologik: ma’lumotlar klasterlashgan (520 obyektdan 20 498 kuzatuv), shu sababli kuzatuv darajasidagi ajratish = 0.812 beradi; to‘liq obyekt-ajratilgan protokolda model 12 ta seed bo‘yicha 0.726 ± 0.033 ga erishadi, fizik shikastlanish indeksini olib tashlash esa 1.03 o‘rniga atigi 0.087 ± 0.016 ga tushadi. Konformal intervallar nominal 80 % o‘rniga 84.3 % qamrov beradi (kvintillar bo‘yicha 61.5–94.5 %); uch darajali balanslash tavsiyasi qatlami modelsiz qoidaning 63.9 % iga nisbatan 91.6 % aniqlikka ( = 0.771) erishadi. Tadqiqotning simulyatsion aylanmaliligi ochiq bayon etiladi; asosiy ko‘chiriladigan xulosa - baholash protokoli natijasidir.
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